Matchup Machine

Jeremy Pena

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matchup for Michael Wacha

276th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Jeremy Pena

293rd out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Moderate advantage for Pena
4

Model Prediction

Jeremy Pena has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.0% higher than Pena's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%25.9%2.4%5.1%18.4%5.1%17.1%
Pena0.0+0.4-0.4-0.2+0.9-0.4-2.2
Wacha-0.1+2.8-0.30.0+3.1-2.9-4.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jeremy Pena is worse vs right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Pena has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Jeremy Pena has an F grade against right-handed Changeups

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

11.1% of Jeremy Pena's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.8% +0.4% 6%         Walk -4.3% -2.0% 35%         In Play +10.1% +1.5% 39%         On Base -0.2% -3.0% 31%         Hit +4.1% -1.0% 14%         Single +1.6% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years