Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jeremy Pena

matchup for Ross Stripling

318th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

Ross Stripling

matchup for Jeremy Pena

24th out of 567 (Best 5%)

Extreme advantage for Pena

Jeremy Pena has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Ross Stripling, which is 4.4% higher than Pena's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Stripling.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.4%	32.0%	2.4%	6.4%	23.2%	3.5%	9.9%
Pena	+4.4	+6.4	-0.4	+1.1	+5.7	-2.0	-9.3
Stripling	+0.6	+3.0	-0.3	+0.4	+2.8	-2.4	-3.0

Jeremy Pena is worse vs right-handed pitching. Ross Stripling is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Pena has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Ross Stripling throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Jeremy Pena has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

19%

Kn-Curve (R)

16%

Sinker (R)

9% of Ross Stripling's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jeremy Pena has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

20% of Ross Stripling's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Jeremy Pena has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 20%

+11%

Extreme Drop 15%

+10%

Medium Velo 19%

+8%

11.1% of Jeremy Pena's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Ross Stripling strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.8% +3.2% 6%

Walk -4.3% -2.9% 35%

In Play +10.1% -0.3% 39%

On Base -0.2% -3.9% 31%

Hit +4.1% -0.9% 14%

Single +1.6% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B +2.1% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.5% -0.1%

41.1% of Jeremy Pena's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. Ross Stripling induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.7% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% +2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.3% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.8% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.0% +0.3% 3%

Pop up +0.6% -0.8%

24.1% of Jeremy Pena's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Ross Stripling are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.7% -0.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.3% -2.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.6% +1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.2% +2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.2% -0.9%

9.5% of Jeremy Pena's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Ross Stripling are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +6.9% 0.0% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.8% +2.3% 8%

1 to 6° -1.5% -1.7% 18%

7 to 18° -0.3% +2.7% 15%

19 to 28° -2.0% +0.2% 11%

29 to 38° -2.0% -1.5% 7%

39 to 50° -1.7% -0.2% 8%

Above 50° -1.3% -1.8%

Jeremy Pena has 8 plate appearances against Ross Stripling in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 7 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	7	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.143
Expected From Contact →			2.39	0.00	0.04	2.34			0.341

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-24	Forceout			3%	97%
2024-05-24	Pop Out				100%
2024-05-13	Single			71%	29%
2024-05-13	Lineout		3%	90%	7%
2023-05-01	Groundout			53%	47%
2023-05-01	Groundout		1%	5%	93%
2022-04-22	Groundout			12%	88%
2022-04-22	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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