Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake McCarthy

matchup for Jared Jones

246th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Jake McCarthy

418th out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Leans in favor of McCarthy

Jake McCarthy has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.9% lower than McCarthy's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.2%	23.3%	2.0%	5.3%	16.1%	6.9%	20.5%
McCarthy	-1.9	-2.8	+0.2	+0.3	-3.2	+0.9	+4.0
Jones	-0.8	+2.5	-0.9	+0.2	+3.2	-3.3	-8.1

Jake McCarthy is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McCarthy has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jake McCarthy has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Jake McCarthy has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Jake McCarthy has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

9.9% of Jake McCarthy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -8.0% +0.4% 5%

Walk -2.8% +0.6% 35%

In Play +10.7% -1.1% 39%

On Base +3.3% -0.1% 31%

Hit +6.0% -0.8% 14%

Single +3.5% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +3.7% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -1.2% +0.9%

44.2% of Jake McCarthy's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.8% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.9% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +9.8% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.7% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.6% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.7% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.6% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.5% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.9% +2.5%

13.0% of Jake McCarthy's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.3% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +8.7% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.9% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.3% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.7% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -11.3% +0.4%

9.8% of Jake McCarthy's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%