Matchup Machine

Jake McCarthy

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

226th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Jake McCarthy

437th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Schmidt
1

Model Prediction

Jake McCarthy has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.2% lower than McCarthy's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.9%23.4%1.8%3.8%17.8%7.5%18.6%
McCarthy-1.2-2.70.0-1.2-1.5+1.5+2.1
Schmidt-1.0+3.8-0.6-0.2+4.6-4.8-6.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake McCarthy is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McCarthy has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Jake McCarthy has an A- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

9.9% of Jake McCarthy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.0% +0.3% 5%         Walk -2.8% +1.6% 35%         In Play +10.7% -1.9% 39%         On Base +3.3% -0.3% 31%         Hit +6.0% -2.0% 14%         Single +3.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +3.7% -0.8% 3%         Home Run -1.2% 0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years