Matchup Machine

Jake McCarthy

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

300th out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Jake McCarthy

6th out of 567 (Best 2%)

Extreme advantage for McCarthy
10

Model Prediction

Jake McCarthy has a 38.9% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 6.8% higher than McCarthy's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.9%34.3%1.6%5.5%27.1%4.6%11.7%
McCarthy+6.8+8.2-0.2+0.5+7.8-1.4-4.8
Stroman+1.3+5.4-1.1-0.3+6.8-4.1-6.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake McCarthy is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McCarthy has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Jake McCarthy has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.9% of Jake McCarthy's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.0% -3.1% 5%         Walk -2.8% -0.8% 35%         In Play +10.7% +3.9% 39%         On Base +3.3% +3.0% 31%         Hit +6.0% +3.8% 14%         Single +3.5% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.7% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -1.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years