matchup for George Kirby
matchup for Seth Brown
2
Seth Brown has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs George Kirby, which is 2.7% lower than Brown's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Kirby.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 27.0% | 21.5% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 19.8% |
| Brown | -2.7 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | -0.1 | -2.9 | -5.4 |
| Kirby | -1.2 | -1.1 | 0.0 | +0.1 | -1.3 | -0.1 | -1.0 |
Seth Brown is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. George Kirby is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Brown has a B grade vs this particular release point.
George Kirby throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Seth Brown has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
40%
Slider (R)
22%
Sinker (R)
19%
Curve (R)
8%
Splitter (R)
6%
15.7% of Seth Brown's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. George Kirby strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+1.8%
+0.5%
5%
Walk
-1.5%
-5.1%
40%
In Play
-0.3%
+4.6%
39%
On Base
-2.7%
-3.9%
31%
Hit
-1.1%
+1.2%
14%
Single
-0.8%
+0.5%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.4%
+0.8%
3%
Home Run
+0.0%
-0.1%
Seth Brown has 20 plate appearances against George Kirby in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 18 with a double and 2 walks
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 20 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0.222 |
| Expected From Contact → | 3.95 | 0.28 | 1.40 | 2.27 | 0.219 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-04 | Caught Stealing 2B | ||||
| 2024-09-04 | Single | 53% | 47% | ||
| 2024-09-04 | Flyout | 99% | |||
| 2024-09-04 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-06-04 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-06-04 | Walk | ||||
| 2023-09-20 | Groundout | 14% | 86% | ||
| 2023-09-20 | Single | 44% | 56% | ||
| 2023-09-20 | Single | 86% | 13% | ||
| 2022-09-22 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-09-22 | Walk | ||||
| 2022-07-02 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-07-02 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-07-02 | Lineout | 63% | 23% | 14% | |
| 2022-06-22 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-06-22 | Flyout | 25% | 45% | 1% | 29% |
| 2022-06-22 | Flyout | 99% | |||
| 2022-05-24 | Groundout | 2% | 98% | ||
| 2022-05-24 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-05-24 | Double | 2% | 30% | 3% | 64% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
Weak Challenge
Edge Painter
Mid Challenge
Strong Challenge
Chaser
Fringe Miss
Likely Ball
Meatball
Non-Competitive
Very Fast Velo
Medium Break
Squib/Bunt
Standard Grounder
Hard Grounder
Low Screamer
Rising Liner
Maybe Homer
Likely Homer
No Doubter
Routine Flyout
Pop up
Below 75 mph
75 to 86 mph
87 to 93 mph
94 to 99 mph
Above 100 mph
Below -10°
-10 to 0°
1 to 6°
7 to 18°
19 to 28°
29 to 38°
39 to 50°
Above 50°