Matchup Machine

Seth Brown

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matchup for Brady Singer

112th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Brady Singer

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matchup for Seth Brown

204th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Leans in favor of Brown
2

Model Prediction

Seth Brown has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Brady Singer, which is 0.8% higher than Brown's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Singer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%22.6%2.4%6.4%13.9%7.9%24.2%
Brown+0.8+1.2-0.2+1.2+0.2-0.4-1.0
Singer-3.0-1.2-0.3+1.0-1.9-1.8+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Seth Brown is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Brady Singer is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Brown has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Brady Singer throws a Sinker 50% of the time. Seth Brown has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
50%
   Slider (R)
41%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of Seth Brown's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Brady Singer strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.8% -0.5% 5%         Walk -1.5% -0.6% 40%         In Play -0.3% +1.1% 39%         On Base -2.7% +0.9% 31%         Hit -1.1% +1.5% 14%         Single -0.8% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +0.0% -0.1%

History

Seth Brown has 10 plate appearances against Brady Singer in the last 3 years. He is 6 for 10 with 2 home runs and a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual10106213200.600
Expected From Contact →5.491.541.991.970.549
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-19Single35%65%
2024-05-19Strikeout
2024-05-19Strikeout
2022-06-26Flyout9%8%82%
2022-06-26Lineout28%4%68%
2022-06-26Double92%7%
2022-06-26Home Run93%5%1%
2022-06-19Single94%6%
2022-06-19Home Run51%25%23%
2022-06-19Single39%54%7%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.