matchup for Yonny Chirinos
matchup for Seth Brown
2
Seth Brown has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 0.7% higher than Brown's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Chirinos.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.9% | 20.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 20.5% |
| Brown | +0.7 | -1.2 | +0.1 | -0.5 | -0.9 | +1.9 | -4.5 |
| Chirinos | -3.3 | -3.1 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -2.4 | -0.2 | +0.9 |
Seth Brown is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Brown has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Seth Brown has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
51%
Slider (R)
25%
Splitter (R)
20%
14% of Yonny Chirinos's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Seth Brown has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
14%
+6%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Non-Competitive
12%
-1%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Strong Challenge
3%
-2%
40% of Yonny Chirinos's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Seth Brown has a B- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
40%
+25%
Low Ride
46%
+23%
Medium Fast Velo
28%
+13%
Offspeed (R)
20%
+9%
15.6% of Seth Brown's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 9.9% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+1.6%
-7.8%
5%
Walk
-1.5%
-0.5%
40%
In Play
-0.1%
+8.3%
39%
On Base
-2.5%
+2.4%
31%
Hit
-1.0%
+2.9%
14%
Single
-0.7%
+1.1%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.3%
+1.4%
3%
Home Run
+0.0%
+0.4%
26.8% of Seth Brown's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos induces Standard Grounders at a 36.7% rate, which is 2.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.6%
-0.4%
34%
Standard Grounder
-7.6%
+2.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.4%
-1.0%
14%
Low Screamer
+0.4%
-2.3%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.4%
+0.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.4%
+0.5%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.0%
-0.7%
1%
No Doubter
+1.6%
+0.6%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.1%
-1.7%
3%
Pop up
+3.4%
+2.3%
28.9% of Seth Brown's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.6% higher than the league average. 25.6% of batted balls allowed by Yonny Chirinos are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+3.1%
-0.5%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.8%
-1.7%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-4.5%
+2.6%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.4%
-1.7%
24%
Above 100 mph
+4.6%
+1.3%
13.2% of Seth Brown's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Yonny Chirinos are hit at this angle, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-3.7%
+1.1%
12%
-10 to 0°
-3.3%
+1.9%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.8%
-0.2%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.6%
-1.2%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.5%
+0.5%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.8%
-2.4%
7%
39 to 50°
+2.0%
-1.9%
8%
Above 50°
+4.6%
+2.1%
Seth Brown has 1 plate appearance against Yonny Chirinos in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.242 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-06-13 | Single | 24% | 76% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
