Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Seth Brown

matchup for Martin Perez

127th out of 436 (Best 30%)

Martin Perez

matchup for Seth Brown

70th out of 567 (Best 13%)

Strong advantage for Brown

Seth Brown has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 2.5% higher than Brown's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Perez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.2%	24.4%	2.8%	6.1%	15.4%	7.8%	18.4%
Brown	+2.5	+3.0	+0.3	+1.0	+1.8	-0.5	-6.7
Perez	-2.4	-0.9	-0.2	+0.8	-1.5	-1.5	+0.1

Seth Brown is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Brown doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Seth Brown hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

34%

Changeup (L)

25%

Cutter (L)

25%

4-Seam (L)

Curve (L)

22% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Seth Brown has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 15%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

62% of Martin Perez's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 38% higher than the MLB average. Seth Brown has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 62%

+38%

Extreme Break 34%

+19%

Offspeed (L) 25%

+13%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Medium Velo 24%

+10%

15.7% of Seth Brown's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.8% -6.1% 5%

Walk -1.5% -0.3% 40%

In Play -0.3% +6.4% 39%

On Base -2.7% +5.9% 31%

Hit -1.1% +6.3% 14%

Single -0.8% +3.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.4% +3.3% 3%

Home Run +0.0% -0.6%

26.9% of Seth Brown's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.5% lower than the league average. Martin Perez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.9% rate, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.6% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.5% +4.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% +0.3% 14%

Low Screamer +0.3% +0.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% +0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +1.0% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.1% -3.7% 3%

Pop up +3.4% -0.9%

28.9% of Seth Brown's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.6% higher than the league average. 25.2% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.0% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.7% +2.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.5% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% -2.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.6% +0.9%

13.3% of Seth Brown's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Martin Perez are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.6% +2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.3% +1.3% 8%

1 to 6° +0.8% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -1.7% +0.2% 15%

19 to 28° -0.5% -1.4% 11%

29 to 38° +1.8% -1.1% 7%

39 to 50° +2.0% -0.3% 8%

Above 50° +4.6% -2.1%

Seth Brown has 2 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.27	0.13	0.14	0.00			0.268

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-09	Walk
2023-09-09	Flyout	13%	14%		73%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe