Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Danny Mendick

matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

278th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Elvin Rodriguez

matchup for Danny Mendick

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Mendick

Danny Mendick has a 37.0% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 6.3% higher than Mendick's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.0%	26.6%	2.5%	5.5%	18.6%	10.4%	21.5%
Mendick	+6.3	+4.4	+0.3	+0.8	+3.3	+1.9	-3.5
Rodriguez	+1.8	+2.0	-0.5	-0.4	+2.9	-0.2	-0.2

Danny Mendick is worse vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Danny Mendick has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

13%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Danny Mendick hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Danny Mendick has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 35%

+20%

High Ride 30%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

14.0% of Danny Mendick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.0% +6.5% 5%

Walk -1.6% +4.1% 38%

In Play +2.6% -10.5% 39%

On Base -1.6% +8.4% 31%

Hit +0.1% +4.3% 14%

Single +0.2% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.8% +3.7%

35.9% of Danny Mendick's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.5% -8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.1% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer +7.5% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner -0.6% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.0% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% +5.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +1.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.7% 3%

Pop up -0.6% +0.9%

6.2% of Danny Mendick's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 18.1% lower than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.1% -7.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +6.7% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -18.1% +10.4%

9.8% of Danny Mendick's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -3.8% -8.9% 12%

-10 to 0° +3.6% +6.4% 8%

1 to 6° -4.4% -2.0% 18%

7 to 18° +3.6% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° +0.3% +1.1% 11%

29 to 38° -1.7% +3.9% 7%

39 to 50° +6.4% -0.5% 8%

Above 50° -4.1% +0.2%

Danny Mendick has 1 plate appearance against Elvin Rodriguez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.06	0.00	0.03	0.03			0.063

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-04-10	Lineout		3%	3%	94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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