Matchup Machine

Danny Mendick

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matchup for Mitch Keller

181st out of 436 (Best 42%)

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Mitch Keller

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matchup for Danny Mendick

276th out of 567 (Best 50%)

Leans in favor of Mendick
1

Model Prediction

Danny Mendick has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Mitch Keller, which is 1.6% higher than Mendick's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Keller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%25.0%2.1%4.5%18.5%7.4%26.4%
Mendick+1.6+2.8-0.1-0.3+3.2-1.1+1.4
Keller+0.2+0.7-0.6-0.7+1.9-0.4+0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Danny Mendick is worse vs right-handed pitching. Mitch Keller is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Mendick has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Mitch Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 34% of the time. Danny Mendick has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
12%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

14.0% of Danny Mendick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Mitch Keller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.0% +1.0% 5%         Walk -1.6% -1.9% 38%         In Play +2.6% +0.8% 39%         On Base -1.6% +0.9% 31%         Hit +0.1% +2.8% 14%         Single +0.2% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.8% +0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years