Matchup Machine

Danny Mendick

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

148th out of 436 (Best 35%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for Danny Mendick

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Mendick
2

Model Prediction

Danny Mendick has a 33.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 2.3% higher than Mendick's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.0%22.8%2.1%4.8%15.9%10.2%25.1%
Mendick+2.3+0.5-0.2+0.1+0.6+1.8+0.1
Duffey-1.1+0.1-0.5-0.5+1.1-1.2+0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Danny Mendick is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Mendick has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Danny Mendick hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

14.0% of Danny Mendick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.0% +3.7% 5%         Walk -1.6% -2.4% 38%         In Play +2.6% -1.3% 39%         On Base -1.6% -5.5% 31%         Hit +0.1% -3.1% 14%         Single +0.2% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% -1.3% 3%         Home Run -0.8% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years