Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Danny Mendick

matchup for Seth Lugo

181st out of 436 (Best 42%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Danny Mendick

241st out of 567 (Best 43%)

Leans in favor of Mendick

Danny Mendick has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.4% higher than Mendick's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.1%	24.3%	2.7%	4.4%	17.2%	7.8%	26.4%
Mendick	+1.4	+2.1	+0.4	-0.4	+2.0	-0.7	+1.4
Lugo	-0.3	+0.4	-0.4	-0.5	+1.4	-0.7	+1.6

Danny Mendick is worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mendick has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Danny Mendick has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Danny Mendick has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Danny Mendick hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

14.0% of Danny Mendick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.0% +0.8% 5%

Walk -1.6% -2.3% 38%

In Play +2.6% +1.4% 39%

On Base -1.6% -0.4% 31%

Hit +0.1% +1.9% 14%

Single +0.2% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -0.8% +0.1%

35.9% of Danny Mendick's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.5% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.1% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +7.5% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.6% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.0% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -0.6% -2.2%

6.2% of Danny Mendick's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 18.1% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.1% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +6.7% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -18.1% -1.6%

9.8% of Danny Mendick's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%