Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Danny Mendick

matchup for Aaron Nola

145th out of 436 (Best 34%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Danny Mendick

440th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Moderate advantage for Nola

Danny Mendick has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.1% lower than Mendick's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.7%	21.8%	2.2%	5.7%	13.9%	6.9%	31.8%
Mendick	-2.1	-0.5	-0.1	+1.0	-1.3	-1.6	+6.8
Nola	-0.8	-0.6	-0.8	-0.5	+0.8	-0.2	+0.9

Danny Mendick is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Mendick has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Danny Mendick hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Danny Mendick hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Danny Mendick hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

14.0% of Danny Mendick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.0% +6.3% 5%

Walk -1.6% -2.8% 38%

In Play +2.6% -3.5% 39%

On Base -1.6% -4.8% 31%

Hit +0.1% -2.0% 14%

Single +0.2% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -0.8% -0.5%

35.9% of Danny Mendick's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.5% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.1% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +7.5% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -0.6% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.0% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -0.4% 3%

Pop up -0.6% -0.7%

6.2% of Danny Mendick's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 18.1% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.1% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.8% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +6.7% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.2% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -18.1% -0.7%

9.8% of Danny Mendick's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%