Matchup Machine

      Danny Mendick

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      matchup for Marcus Stroman

      160th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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      Marcus Stroman

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      matchup for Danny Mendick

      23rd out of 564 (Best 5%)

      Extreme advantage for Mendick
      9

      Model Prediction

      Danny Mendick has a 37.8% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 7.0% higher than Mendick's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Stroman.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Danny Mendick is worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mendick has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Danny Mendick has a D+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      40%
         Slider (R)
      18%
         Cutter (R)
      15%
         Splitter (R)
      11%
         Curve (R)
      10%
         4-Seam (R)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      14.0% of Danny Mendick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.0% -3.1% 5%         Walk -1.6% -0.8% 38%         In Play +2.6% +3.9% 39%         On Base -1.6% +3.0% 31%         Hit +0.1% +3.8% 14%         Single +0.2% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -0.8% -1.1%

      History

      Danny Mendick has 1 plate appearance against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.650.000.000.650.655
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-05-29Fielders Choice Out65%35%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.