Matchup Machine

Danny Mendick

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

189th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Danny Mendick

132nd out of 567 (Best 24%)

Moderate advantage for Mendick
4

Model Prediction

Danny Mendick has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.7% higher than Mendick's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%21.8%2.4%4.9%14.4%11.7%21.6%
Mendick+2.7-0.5+0.2+0.2-0.9+3.2-3.4
Anderson-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Danny Mendick is better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mendick doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Danny Mendick has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

14.0% of Danny Mendick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.0% -1.9% 5%         Walk -1.6% -1.0% 38%         In Play +2.6% +2.9% 39%         On Base -1.6% -0.1% 31%         Hit +0.1% +0.9% 14%         Single +0.2% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.8% -0.2%

History

Danny Mendick has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →1.120.000.001.120.560
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-06-09Groundout36%64%
2022-06-09Single75%24%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.