Matchup Machine

LaMonte Wade Jr

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matchup for Trevor Rogers

321st out of 436 (Worst 27%)

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Trevor Rogers

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matchup for LaMonte Wade Jr

249th out of 567 (Best 45%)

Strong advantage for Wade Jr
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Model Prediction

LaMonte Wade Jr has a 36.8% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 1.7% higher than Wade Jr's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Rogers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.8%23.5%2.5%5.6%15.3%13.3%21.1%
Wade Jr+1.7+1.3-0.6+0.3+1.6+0.4-2.8
Rogers+2.7-0.8-0.2-0.1-0.5+3.5+1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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LaMonte Wade Jr is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Wade Jr doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. LaMonte Wade Jr has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
48%
   Changeup (L)
26%
   Slider (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.0% of LaMonte Wade Jr's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.8% -0.4% 2%         Walk +4.7% +0.3% 40%         In Play -1.9% +0.2% 39%         On Base +4.6% +0.7% 31%         Hit -0.2% +0.4% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.0% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.8%

History

LaMonte Wade Jr has 1 plate appearance against Trevor Rogers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-19Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.