Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nathan Lukes

matchup for Sandy Alcantara

out of 436 (Worst %)

Sandy Alcantara

matchup for Nathan Lukes

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Alcantara

Nathan Lukes has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 1.0% higher than Lukes's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Alcantara.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.1%	21.6%	1.6%	4.0%	15.9%	10.5%	22.8%
Lukes	+1.0	-0.6	-0.3	-0.4	+0.0	+1.6	+2.9
Alcantara	-0.1	-0.3	-0.8	-0.8	+1.2	+0.2	-3.7

Nathan Lukes hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Lukes does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Nathan Lukes hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

28%

Changeup (R)

25%

4-Seam (R)

23%

Slider (R)

22%

12% of Sandy Alcantara's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Nathan Lukes hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

48% of Sandy Alcantara's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Nathan Lukes hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 48%

+33%

Extreme Fast Velo 22%

+19%

Small Drop 30%

+17%

Offspeed (R) 25%

+13%

14.1% of Nathan Lukes's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

22%

Strikeout -8.1% +2.6% 6%

Walk +4.7% -0.7% 57%

In Play +3.4% -1.9% 39%

On Base +9.2% -4.1% 31%

Hit +4.4% -3.3% 14%

Single +2.3% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +3.4% -0.8% 3%

Home Run -1.3% -1.4%

36.3% of Nathan Lukes's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Sandy Alcantara induces Standard Grounders at a 43.1% rate, which is 8.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.4% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.9% +8.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.5% -0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -7.8% -3.1% 9%

Rising Liner +6.1% -1.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.9% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.0% -2.8% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +0.1%

19.1% of Nathan Lukes's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Sandy Alcantara are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.6% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.3% +1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +10.4% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +5.8% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -5.2% -1.3%

6.3% of Nathan Lukes's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Sandy Alcantara are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%