Alec Bohm has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 3.5% lower than Bohm's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Crochet.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 28.4% | 23.3% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 16.0% | 5.1% | 22.1% |
Bohm | -3.5 | -1.6 | -0.1 | +0.4 | -1.8 | -1.9 | +6.7 |
Crochet | +0.9 | +2.4 | -0.4 | +0.3 | +2.5 | -1.5 | -13.2 |
Alec Bohm is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Bohm has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Alec Bohm has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers
8.2% of Alec Bohm's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.7% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Alec Bohm has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 3 with 2 home runs and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.66 | 1.20 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.553 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-07-16 | Single | ||||
2024-04-19 | Home Run | 88% | 10% | 2% | |
2024-04-19 | Home Run | 32% | 11% | 57% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.