Matchup Machine

Alec Bohm

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

357th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Alec Bohm

520th out of 567 (Worst 8%)

Moderate advantage for Crochet
3

Model Prediction

Alec Bohm has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 3.5% lower than Bohm's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.4%23.3%2.0%5.3%16.0%5.1%22.1%
Bohm-3.5-1.6-0.1+0.4-1.8-1.9+6.7
Crochet+0.9+2.4-0.4+0.3+2.5-1.5-13.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Alec Bohm is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Bohm has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Alec Bohm has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

8.2% of Alec Bohm's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.7% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.7% +9.4% 5%         Walk -2.7% -1.3% 34%         In Play +13.4% -8.1% 39%         On Base +3.9% -3.9% 31%         Hit +6.6% -2.5% 14%         Single +3.7% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.5% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.1%

History

Alec Bohm has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 3 with 2 home runs and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual333201001.000
Expected From Contact →1.661.200.210.250.553
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-16Single
2024-04-19Home Run88%10%2%
2024-04-19Home Run32%11%57%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.