Matchup Machine

Alec Bohm

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

302nd out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Alec Bohm

135th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Strong advantage for Bohm
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Model Prediction

Alec Bohm has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.8% higher than Bohm's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.7%26.0%2.3%5.8%17.9%7.7%13.5%
Bohm+1.8+1.1+0.1+0.9+0.1+0.7-1.9
Anderson-0.1+3.7-0.7+0.6+3.8-3.8-8.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Alec Bohm is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bohm has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Alec Bohm has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

8.2% of Alec Bohm's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.7% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.7% -1.9% 5%         Walk -2.7% -1.0% 34%         In Play +13.4% +2.9% 39%         On Base +3.9% -0.1% 31%         Hit +6.6% +0.9% 14%         Single +3.7% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.5% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.2%

History

Alec Bohm has 9 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 8 with a home run, a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual983111010.375
Expected From Contact →2.551.060.570.910.318
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-30Single48%52%
2024-04-30Pop Out100%
2024-04-30Groundout26%74%
2023-08-29Pop Out100%
2023-08-29Home Run87%10%3%
2023-08-29Walk
2022-05-12Flyout99%
2022-05-12Triple19%47%34%
2022-05-12Groundout16%84%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.