Matchup Machine

Kyle Isbel

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matchup for David Peterson

143rd out of 436 (Best 34%)

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David Peterson

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matchup for Kyle Isbel

282nd out of 567 (Best 51%)

Leans in favor of Isbel
1

Model Prediction

Kyle Isbel has a 33.0% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 2.0% higher than Isbel's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Peterson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.0%22.9%1.4%3.9%17.6%10.0%21.2%
Isbel+2.0+0.8-0.5-0.9+2.2+1.2-1.2
Peterson+0.1+0.0-0.8-1.0+1.9+0.1-0.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Isbel is worse vs left-handed pitching. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Isbel has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Kyle Isbel has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
30%
   Sinker (L)
24%
   Slider (L)
23%
   Changeup (L)
17%
   Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.5% of Kyle Isbel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.8% +0.1% 5%         Walk -0.9% +1.3% 38%         In Play +2.7% -1.3% 39%         On Base -1.2% +2.1% 31%         Hit -0.4% +0.8% 14%         Single +0.4% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -1.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years