Matchup Machine

Kyle Isbel

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matchup for Erick Fedde

196th out of 436 (Best 46%)

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Erick Fedde

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matchup for Kyle Isbel

197th out of 567 (Best 36%)

Moderate advantage for Isbel
3

Model Prediction

Kyle Isbel has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Erick Fedde, which is 0.7% higher than Isbel's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Fedde.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%23.1%1.7%5.3%16.1%8.5%15.7%
Isbel+0.7+0.9-0.1+0.4+0.7-0.3-6.6
Fedde-0.5+0.2-0.9-0.1+1.1-0.7-3.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Isbel is better vs right-handed pitching. Erick Fedde is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Isbel has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Erick Fedde throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Kyle Isbel has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Changeup (R)
8%
   Slider (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.5% of Kyle Isbel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Erick Fedde strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.8% -0.7% 5%         Walk -0.9% -1.3% 38%         In Play +2.7% +2.1% 39%         On Base -1.2% +0.7% 31%         Hit -0.4% +2.1% 14%         Single +0.4% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +1.3% 3%         Home Run -1.2% 0.0%

History

Kyle Isbel has 2 plate appearances against Erick Fedde in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.070.000.010.060.068
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-05Walk
2024-04-05Groundout1%6%93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.