Matchup Machine

Kyle Isbel

sometext

matchup for Tyler Anderson

106th out of 436 (Best 25%)

sometext

Tyler Anderson

sometext

matchup for Kyle Isbel

240th out of 567 (Best 43%)

Leans in favor of Isbel
2

Model Prediction

Kyle Isbel has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.4% higher than Isbel's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%21.9%1.9%4.5%15.6%10.4%20.6%
Isbel+1.4-0.20.0-0.4+0.1+1.6-1.7
Anderson-1.4-0.3-1.0-0.7+1.4-1.0-1.0

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Kyle Isbel is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Isbel doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Kyle Isbel has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.5% of Kyle Isbel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.8% -1.9% 5%         Walk -0.9% -1.0% 38%         In Play +2.7% +2.9% 39%         On Base -1.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit -0.4% +0.9% 14%         Single +0.4% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -0.2%

History

Kyle Isbel has 8 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 8 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual882002100.250
Expected From Contact →2.230.000.032.200.278
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-11Single18%82%
2024-05-11Strikeout
2024-05-11Groundout48%51%
2023-04-22Groundout35%64%
2023-04-22Groundout32%67%
2022-08-14Single40%59%
2022-08-14Sac Bunt
2022-08-14Groundout46%53%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.