Matchup Machine

Kyle Isbel

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matchup for Jose Quintana

82nd out of 436 (Best 20%)

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Jose Quintana

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matchup for Kyle Isbel

395th out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Quintana
3

Model Prediction

Kyle Isbel has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs Jose Quintana, which is 1.4% lower than Isbel's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Quintana.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.6%21.3%1.5%4.7%15.1%8.3%21.5%
Isbel-1.4-0.9-0.3-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.9
Quintana-2.6-0.6-0.5-0.4+0.3-2.0+0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Kyle Isbel is worse vs left-handed pitching. Jose Quintana is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Isbel has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Quintana throws a 4-seam fastball 31% of the time. Kyle Isbel has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
31%
   Curve (L)
28%
   Sinker (L)
24%
   Changeup (L)
17%

Contact and Outcomes

13.5% of Kyle Isbel's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.8% lower than the league average. Jose Quintana strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.8% +0.4% 5%         Walk -0.9% -1.1% 38%         In Play +2.7% +0.7% 39%         On Base -1.2% +1.3% 31%         Hit -0.4% +2.5% 14%         Single +0.4% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +1.4% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -0.8%

History

Kyle Isbel has 3 plate appearances against Jose Quintana in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.060.010.050.000.022
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-01Strikeout
2023-08-01Flyout5%94%
2023-08-01Sac Bunt

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.