Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Estevan Florial

matchup for Jared Jones

out of 436 (Worst %)

Jared Jones

matchup for Estevan Florial

393rd out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Strong advantage for Jones

Estevan Florial has a 26.4% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.8% lower than Florial's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.4%	16.2%	2.8%	3.7%	9.7%	10.2%	43.4%
Florial	-0.8	-1.3	-0.1	-0.3	-0.9	+0.5	+5.5
Jones	-4.6	-4.6	-0.1	-1.3	-3.2	-0.1	+14.9

Estevan Florial hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Florial doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Estevan Florial has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Estevan Florial hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Estevan Florial hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

26.0% of Estevan Florial's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +9.8% +0.4% 5%

Walk +2.7% +0.6% 54%

In Play -12.5% -1.1% 39%

On Base -6.6% -0.1% 31%

Hit -9.3% -0.8% 14%

Single -4.6% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -4.2% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -0.5% +0.9%

42.2% of Estevan Florial's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.8% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.8% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +0.3% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -9.6% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.4% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +14.9% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.4% +2.5%

33.3% of Estevan Florial's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.0% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.4% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +10.3% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.6% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -13.5% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.0% +0.4%

1.9% of Estevan Florial's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%