Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Estevan Florial

matchup for Corbin Burnes

out of 436 (Worst %)

Corbin Burnes

matchup for Estevan Florial

460th out of 567 (Worst 19%)

Extreme advantage for Burnes

Estevan Florial has a 24.2% chance of reaching base vs Corbin Burnes, which is 3.1% lower than Florial's typical expectations, and 5.6% lower than batters facing Burnes.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	24.2%	16.1%	2.1%	3.7%	10.4%	8.1%	38.1%
Florial	-3.1	-1.4	-0.8	-0.3	-0.2	-1.6	+0.3
Burnes	-5.6	-5.7	-0.3	-0.7	-4.7	+0.1	+15.0

Estevan Florial hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Corbin Burnes is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Florial doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Corbin Burnes throws a Cutter 52% of the time. Estevan Florial hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

52%

Curve (R)

19%

Slider (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

10%

Sinker (R)

24% of Corbin Burnes's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Estevan Florial has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 24%

+4%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

47% of Corbin Burnes's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Estevan Florial has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 47%

+23%

Fast Velo 36%

+21%

Small Break 31%

+20%

26.0% of Estevan Florial's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% higher than the league average. Corbin Burnes strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +9.8% +3.2% 5%

Walk +2.7% -1.6% 54%

In Play -12.5% -1.6% 39%

On Base -6.6% -3.4% 31%

Hit -9.3% -1.8% 14%

Single -4.6% -0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -4.2% -0.2% 3%

Home Run -0.5% -0.8%

42.2% of Estevan Florial's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.8% higher than the league average. Corbin Burnes induces Standard Grounders at a 40.0% rate, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.8% +5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% +0.9% 14%

Low Screamer +0.3% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -9.6% -1.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.4% -1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +14.9% -2.7% 3%

Pop up +0.4% 0.0%

33.3% of Estevan Florial's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.0% higher than the league average. 23.7% of batted balls allowed by Corbin Burnes are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.4% +2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +10.3% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.6% +2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -13.5% -4.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.0% -0.6%

1.9% of Estevan Florial's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Corbin Burnes are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%