Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Estevan Florial

matchup for Jake Latz

out of 436 (Worst %)

Jake Latz

matchup for Estevan Florial

149th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Moderate advantage for Latz

Estevan Florial has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 2.9% higher than Florial's typical expectations, and 4.3% lower than batters facing Latz.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.1%	16.2%	3.1%	4.3%	8.9%	13.9%	33.9%
Florial	+2.9	-1.3	+0.2	+0.3	-1.7	+4.2	-4.0
Latz	-4.3	-4.6	+0.4	-0.6	-4.4	+0.3	+11.1

Estevan Florial hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Florial doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Estevan Florial hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

50%

Changeup (L)

23%

Slider (L)

22%

Curve (L)

7% of Jake Latz's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Estevan Florial hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Fringe Miss 15%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 15%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

42% of Jake Latz's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Estevan Florial hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 42%

+23%

Fast Velo 32%

+22%

High Ride 31%

+21%

Offspeed (L) 23%

+10%

26.0% of Estevan Florial's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% higher than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +9.8% -1.3% 5%

Walk +2.7% +6.7% 54%

In Play -12.5% -5.5% 39%

On Base -6.6% +1.7% 31%

Hit -9.3% -5.1% 14%

Single -4.6% -3.5% 13%

2B / 3B -4.2% -3.0% 3%

Home Run -0.5% +1.4%

42.2% of Estevan Florial's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.8% higher than the league average. Jake Latz induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.8% -5.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% +0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +0.3% -3.3% 9%

Rising Liner -9.6% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.4% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +14.9% +3.3% 3%

Pop up +0.4% +7.7%

33.3% of Estevan Florial's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.0% higher than the league average. 23.7% of batted balls allowed by Jake Latz are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.4% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +10.3% -1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.6% -1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -13.5% +2.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.0% -0.6%

1.9% of Estevan Florial's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Jake Latz are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.1% -2.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +3.6% -5.2% 8%

1 to 6° +5.6% +2.4% 18%

7 to 18° -7.1% -4.2% 15%

19 to 28° +10.0% +1.9% 11%

29 to 38° -9.5% +0.1% 7%

39 to 50° +5.8% -2.5% 8%

Above 50° -4.4% +10.1%

Estevan Florial has 1 plate appearance against Jake Latz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03			0.029

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-13	Groundout			3%	97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe