Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Estevan Florial

matchup for Seth Lugo

out of 436 (Worst %)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Estevan Florial

356th out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Strong advantage for Lugo

Estevan Florial has a 26.3% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.9% lower than Florial's typical expectations, and 6.1% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.3%	17.6%	3.0%	4.4%	10.2%	8.7%	41.8%
Florial	-0.9	+0.0	+0.1	+0.3	-0.4	-1.0	+3.9
Lugo	-6.1	-6.3	-0.1	-0.6	-5.6	+0.2	+16.9

Estevan Florial hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Florial doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Estevan Florial has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Estevan Florial hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Estevan Florial hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

26.0% of Estevan Florial's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +9.8% +0.8% 5%

Walk +2.7% -2.3% 54%

In Play -12.5% +1.4% 39%

On Base -6.6% -0.4% 31%

Hit -9.3% +1.9% 14%

Single -4.6% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -4.2% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -0.5% +0.1%

42.2% of Estevan Florial's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.8% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.0% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.8% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +0.3% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -9.6% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.4% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +14.9% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +0.4% -2.2%

33.3% of Estevan Florial's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 9.0% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -6.4% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +10.3% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.6% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -13.5% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +9.0% -1.6%

1.9% of Estevan Florial's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%