Matchup Machine

      Estevan Florial

      sometext

      matchup for Chris Bassitt

      out of 436 (Worst %)

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      Chris Bassitt

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      matchup for Estevan Florial

      286th out of 564 (Worst 49%)

      Strong advantage for Bassitt
      6

      Model Prediction

      Estevan Florial has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 2.4% higher than Florial's typical expectations, and 5.5% lower than batters facing Bassitt.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Estevan Florial hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Florial doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Estevan Florial hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      38%
         Cutter (R)
      17%
         Slider (R)
      14%
         Curve (R)
      13%
         4-Seam (R)
      10%
         Changeup (R)
      7%

      Contact and Outcomes

      26.0% of Estevan Florial's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% higher than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +9.8% -0.4% 5%         Walk +2.7% +0.1% 54%         In Play -12.5% +0.3% 39%         On Base -6.6% +1.5% 31%         Hit -9.3% +1.4% 14%         Single -4.6% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -4.2% +1.0% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.4%

      History

      Estevan Florial has 3 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual331001100.333
      Expected From Contact →0.480.000.000.480.161
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-09-28Strikeout
      2023-09-28Single48%52%
      2023-09-28Pop Out100%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.