Matchup Machine

Estevan Florial

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Estevan Florial

93rd out of 567 (Best 17%)

Leans in favor of Stroman
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Model Prediction

Estevan Florial has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 4.7% higher than Florial's typical expectations, and 5.6% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%22.3%2.6%4.1%15.5%9.7%30.3%
Florial+4.7+4.7-0.3+0.0+4.90.0-7.6
Stroman-5.6-6.6-0.1-1.8-4.8+0.9+12.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Estevan Florial hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Florial doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Estevan Florial hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

26.0% of Estevan Florial's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +9.8% -3.1% 5%         Walk +2.7% -0.8% 54%         In Play -12.5% +3.9% 39%         On Base -6.6% +3.0% 31%         Hit -9.3% +3.8% 14%         Single -4.6% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -4.2% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -1.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years