Matchup Machine

Dylan Moore

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matchup for Zac Gallen

77th out of 436 (Best 18%)

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Zac Gallen

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matchup for Dylan Moore

386th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Moderate advantage for Gallen
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Model Prediction

Dylan Moore has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Zac Gallen, which is 0.8% higher than Moore's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Gallen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%15.6%2.3%3.9%9.4%16.8%39.6%
Moore+0.8-2.9-0.1-0.8-2.0+3.7+8.7
Gallen-0.4-5.4-0.5-1.2-3.7+5.0+9.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Dylan Moore is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zac Gallen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Moore has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zac Gallen throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Dylan Moore has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Kn-Curve (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Cutter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

17.7% of Dylan Moore's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Zac Gallen strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.2% +3.5% 2%         Walk +4.6% -0.3% 44%         In Play -9.8% -3.2% 39%         On Base -3.4% -1.8% 31%         Hit -8.0% -1.5% 14%         Single -4.0% -0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -3.6% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.1%

History

Dylan Moore has 2 plate appearances against Zac Gallen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.410.000.060.360.207
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-26Strikeout
2024-04-26Lineout6%36%59%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.