Matchup Machine

Dylan Moore

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matchup for Joe Ryan

99th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Joe Ryan

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matchup for Dylan Moore

502nd out of 567 (Worst 12%)

Strong advantage for Ryan
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Model Prediction

Dylan Moore has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 5.4% lower than Moore's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Ryan.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.1%16.6%2.3%4.6%9.7%9.5%35.6%
Moore-5.4-1.90.0-0.1-1.7-3.5+4.8
Ryan-0.7-3.6-0.2-0.7-2.7+2.9+6.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Dylan Moore is worse vs right-handed pitching. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Moore has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Dylan Moore has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Splitter (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

17.7% of Dylan Moore's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.2% +4.7% 2%         Walk +4.6% -3.3% 44%         In Play -9.8% -1.4% 39%         On Base -3.4% -8.0% 31%         Hit -8.0% -4.7% 14%         Single -4.0% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B -3.6% -2.7% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.9%

History

Dylan Moore has 7 plate appearances against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 7 with a home run and a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual774112300.571
Expected From Contact →2.410.101.001.310.345
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-30Strikeout
2024-06-30Triple5%60%2%33%
2024-06-30Strikeout
2023-07-26Home Run5%30%6%59%
2023-07-26Single3%76%22%
2022-06-14Strikeout
2022-06-14Single7%47%45%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.