Matchup Machine

Dylan Moore

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matchup for A.J. Puk

57th out of 436 (Best 14%)

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A.J. Puk

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matchup for Dylan Moore

566th out of 567 (Worst 0%)

Extreme advantage for Puk
10

Model Prediction

Dylan Moore has a 23.0% chance of reaching base vs A.J. Puk, which is 8.5% lower than Moore's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Puk.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.0%14.2%1.8%3.8%8.6%8.8%47.2%
Moore-8.5-4.2-0.6-0.9-2.7-4.3+16.4
Puk-1.6-4.5-0.9-0.8-2.9+2.9+9.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Dylan Moore is better vs left-handed pitching. A.J. Puk is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Moore has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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A.J. Puk throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Dylan Moore has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Slider (L)
38%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

17.7% of Dylan Moore's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. A.J. Puk strikes out 20.8% of the batters he faces, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.2% +8.0% 2%         Walk +4.6% -1.3% 44%         In Play -9.8% -6.8% 39%         On Base -3.4% -4.0% 31%         Hit -8.0% -2.7% 14%         Single -4.0% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -3.6% -1.0% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.4%

History

Dylan Moore has 5 plate appearances against A.J. Puk in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual540000210.000
Expected From Contact →0.250.030.020.210.064
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-09-20Flyout3%1%96%
2022-08-21Forceout21%79%
2022-07-02Strikeout
2022-06-30Strikeout
2022-05-25Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.