Matchup Machine

Dylan Moore

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matchup for John Means

203rd out of 436 (Best 47%)

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John Means

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matchup for Dylan Moore

128th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Moderate advantage for Moore
4

Model Prediction

Dylan Moore has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs John Means, which is 0.1% higher than Moore's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Means.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.7%21.7%2.6%7.6%11.6%9.9%24.1%
Moore+0.1+3.3+0.2+2.9+0.2-3.2-6.8
Means+0.7-2.3-0.8+1.1-2.5+3.0+3.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Dylan Moore is better vs left-handed pitching. John Means is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Moore has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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John Means throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Dylan Moore has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Changeup (L)
28%
   Slider (L)
12%
   Curve (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

17.7% of Dylan Moore's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. John Means strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.2% -0.2% 2%         Walk +4.6% -2.7% 44%         In Play -9.8% +2.9% 39%         On Base -3.4% -4.8% 31%         Hit -8.0% -2.0% 14%         Single -4.0% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.6% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.5%

History

Dylan Moore has 3 plate appearances against John Means in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a home run and a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332110000.667
Expected From Contact →2.200.960.890.350.733
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-17Double68%14%18%
2024-05-17Groundout20%21%59%
2024-05-17Home Run96%1%3%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.