Matchup Machine

Dylan Moore

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matchup for Seth Lugo

41st out of 436 (Best 10%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Dylan Moore

391st out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo
4

Model Prediction

Dylan Moore has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.5% lower than Moore's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%18.1%2.4%4.4%11.3%12.0%34.0%
Moore-1.5-0.30.0-0.3-0.1-1.1+3.1
Lugo-2.4-5.8-0.8-0.5-4.6+3.4+9.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Dylan Moore is worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Moore has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Dylan Moore has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.7% of Dylan Moore's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.2% +0.8% 2%         Walk +4.6% -2.3% 44%         In Play -9.8% +1.4% 39%         On Base -3.4% -0.4% 31%         Hit -8.0% +1.9% 14%         Single -4.0% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -3.6% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years