Matchup Machine

Harrison Bader

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

153rd out of 436 (Best 36%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Harrison Bader

485th out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Moderate advantage for Weathers
4

Model Prediction

Harrison Bader has a 27.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 3.1% lower than Bader's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.7%21.5%2.0%5.1%14.4%6.2%24.3%
Bader-3.1-2.4-1.0-0.3-1.1-0.7+1.2
Weathers-2.2-0.1-0.1-0.5+0.5-2.1-0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Harrison Bader is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Bader has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Harrison Bader has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

13.1% of Harrison Bader's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.6% -2.1% 6%         Walk -3.1% -0.6% 37%         In Play +5.6% +2.7% 39%         On Base -3.6% +0.9% 31%         Hit -0.5% +1.5% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years