matchup for Aaron Civale
matchup for Harrison Bader
2
Harrison Bader has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Civale, which is 3.0% lower than Bader's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Civale.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 27.3% | 21.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 14.2% | 5.6% | 21.8% |
| Bader | -3.0 | -1.6 | +0.5 | -1.3 | -0.7 | -1.5 | -1.9 |
| Civale | -2.3 | +0.1 | +0.3 | -0.3 | +0.2 | -2.4 | +0.4 |
Harrison Bader is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Civale is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bader has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Aaron Civale throws a Cutter 32% of the time. Harrison Bader has an A- grade against right-handed Cutters
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Cutter (R)
32%
Sinker (R)
21%
Curve (R)
20%
4-Seam (R)
11%
Slider (R)
10%
21% of Aaron Civale's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Harrison Bader has a D grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
21%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Meatball
6%
0%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
20% of Aaron Civale's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Harrison Bader has a D- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Drop
20%
+15%
Medium Break
24%
+15%
Extreme Slow Velo
16%
+11%
Fastball (R)
64%
+10%
13.3% of Harrison Bader's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. Aaron Civale strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.1%
+0.5%
6%
Walk
-3.2%
-1.3%
37%
In Play
+5.4%
+0.8%
39%
On Base
-4.2%
-1.0%
31%
Hit
-1.0%
+0.3%
14%
Single
-0.7%
-0.1%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.3%
+0.3%
3%
Home Run
+0.1%
+0.1%
33.5% of Harrison Bader's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Aaron Civale induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.4%
-0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
-0.9%
-0.4%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.9%
-0.8%
14%
Low Screamer
+0.9%
-1.2%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.5%
+1.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.1%
-0.8%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.0%
+0.1%
1%
No Doubter
+0.3%
+0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.3%
+0.1%
3%
Pop up
+3.1%
+1.6%
20.5% of Harrison Bader's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Civale are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+6.0%
+0.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+0.5%
+1.7%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+0.2%
+0.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.8%
-2.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.8%
+0.4%
11.6% of Harrison Bader's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. 11.8% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Civale are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.7%
-1.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.0%
-0.4%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.1%
+0.6%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.4%
-1.1%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.7%
+0.5%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.1%
+0.3%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.7%
-0.1%
8%
Above 50°
+2.6%
+1.3%
No History in the last 3 years
