Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Harrison Bader

matchup for Yonny Chirinos

398th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

Yonny Chirinos

matchup for Harrison Bader

25th out of 567 (Best 5%)

Extreme advantage for Bader

Harrison Bader has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 5.0% higher than Bader's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Chirinos.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.8%	27.8%	3.6%	6.4%	17.8%	8.0%	16.9%
Bader	+5.0	+3.9	+0.6	+1.0	+2.3	+1.1	-6.3
Chirinos	+1.6	+3.9	+0.6	+1.2	+2.2	-2.3	-2.7

Harrison Bader is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bader has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Harrison Bader has a C+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

51%

Slider (R)

25%

Splitter (R)

20%

14% of Yonny Chirinos's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Harrison Bader has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

40% of Yonny Chirinos's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Harrison Bader has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 40%

+25%

Low Ride 46%

+23%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

13.1% of Harrison Bader's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.6% -7.8% 6%

Walk -3.1% -0.6% 37%

In Play +5.6% +8.3% 39%

On Base -3.6% +2.3% 31%

Hit -0.5% +2.9% 14%

Single -0.6% +1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% +1.4% 3%

Home Run +0.2% +0.4%

33.4% of Harrison Bader's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Yonny Chirinos induces Standard Grounders at a 36.6% rate, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.0% +2.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -1.0% 14%

Low Screamer +0.9% -2.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.4% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.1% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.0% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.3% -1.7% 3%

Pop up +3.1% +2.3%

20.5% of Harrison Bader's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.8% lower than the league average. 25.6% of batted balls allowed by Yonny Chirinos are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +6.1% -0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.5% -1.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.2% +2.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.9% -1.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.8% +1.3%

11.6% of Harrison Bader's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Yonny Chirinos are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.6% +1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.1% +2.0% 8%

1 to 6° -1.1% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° -1.4% -1.2% 15%

19 to 28° -0.7% +0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.2% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° +1.7% -1.9% 8%

Above 50° +2.6% +2.1%

Harrison Bader has 5 plate appearances against Yonny Chirinos in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	2	0	0	2	0	0	0.400
Expected From Contact →			1.68	0.00	0.02	1.66			0.335

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-22	Single			76%	24%
2024-07-22	Single			45%	55%
2024-07-22	Pop Out			4%	96%
2023-05-05	Flyout				100%
2023-05-05	Lineout			41%	58%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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