Matchup Machine

Harrison Bader

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matchup for Tyler Duffey

209th out of 436 (Best 49%)

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Tyler Duffey

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matchup for Harrison Bader

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Bader
4

Model Prediction

Harrison Bader has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 1.6% higher than Bader's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Duffey.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%23.8%2.8%6.2%14.9%8.5%24.3%
Bader+1.6+0.0-0.2+0.8-0.6+1.6+1.2
Duffey-1.7+1.2+0.2+0.9+0.1-2.9-0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Harrison Bader is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Bader has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Harrison Bader hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
42%
   4-Seam (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

13.1% of Harrison Bader's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.6% +3.7% 6%         Walk -3.1% -2.4% 37%         In Play +5.6% -1.3% 39%         On Base -3.6% -5.5% 31%         Hit -0.5% -3.1% 14%         Single -0.6% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -1.3% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years