Matchup Machine

Harrison Bader

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matchup for Zack Wheeler

150th out of 436 (Best 35%)

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Zack Wheeler

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matchup for Harrison Bader

558th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Strong advantage for Wheeler
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Model Prediction

Harrison Bader has a 23.7% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 7.0% lower than Bader's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Wheeler.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.7%17.6%2.7%4.0%10.9%6.1%33.9%
Bader-7.0-6.3-0.3-1.4-4.6-0.8+10.8
Wheeler-2.1-0.2+0.3-0.5+0.0-2.0+1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Harrison Bader is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Bader has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Harrison Bader has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

13.1% of Harrison Bader's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.6% +7.9% 6%         Walk -3.1% -2.6% 37%         In Play +5.6% -5.3% 39%         On Base -3.6% -6.2% 31%         Hit -0.5% -3.6% 14%         Single -0.6% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.2% -1.0%

History

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