Matchup Machine

Brandon Lowe

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

188th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Brandon Lowe

481st out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Moderate advantage for Weathers
3

Model Prediction

Brandon Lowe has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.8% lower than Lowe's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.6%21.0%3.3%4.9%12.8%7.6%32.5%
Lowe-2.8-2.4-0.9-0.6-0.9-0.3+3.2
Weathers-1.2-0.5+1.3-0.7-1.1-0.7+7.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Brandon Lowe is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Lowe has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Brandon Lowe has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

16.1% of Brandon Lowe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.5% -2.1% 5%         Walk -1.1% -0.6% 40%         In Play -1.5% +2.7% 39%         On Base -0.4% +0.9% 31%         Hit +0.7% +1.5% 14%         Single -1.6% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +3.4% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years