matchup for Zack Wheeler
matchup for Brandon Lowe
6
Brandon Lowe has a 25.9% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 5.3% lower than Lowe's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Wheeler.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 25.9% | 18.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 38.6% |
| Lowe | -5.3 | -4.6 | -0.4 | -0.8 | -3.4 | -0.8 | +8.8 |
| Wheeler | +0.1 | +1.0 | +1.3 | +0.1 | -0.4 | -1.0 | +6.4 |
Brandon Lowe is better vs right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Lowe has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Brandon Lowe has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
42%
Slider (R)
21%
Sinker (R)
19%
Curve (R)
11%
13% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Lowe has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
13%
+2%
Strong Challenge
7%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Meatball
3%
-3%
Non-Competitive
9%
-4%
32% of Zack Wheeler's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Lowe has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Fast Velo
32%
+17%
Fastball (R)
64%
+11%
16.6% of Brandon Lowe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 20.9% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+3.3%
+7.9%
5%
Walk
-0.9%
-2.6%
41%
In Play
-2.4%
-5.3%
39%
On Base
-0.9%
-6.2%
31%
Hit
0.0%
-3.5%
14%
Single
-1.9%
-1.3%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.4%
-1.2%
3%
Home Run
+3.3%
-1.0%
27.7% of Brandon Lowe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler induces Standard Grounders at a 41.3% rate, which is 6.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.1%
-0.6%
34%
Standard Grounder
-6.7%
+6.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.5%
-1.4%
14%
Low Screamer
-3.0%
+2.1%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.8%
-1.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
+2.0%
-1.2%
3%
Likely Homer
+2.0%
-0.8%
1%
No Doubter
+2.0%
-0.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
+4.0%
-4.4%
3%
Pop up
+0.1%
+0.6%
32.9% of Brandon Lowe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. 22.2% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.8%
+5.4%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-4.7%
+1.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.2%
-1.4%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.2%
-3.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
+8.6%
-2.1%
14.0% of Brandon Lowe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Zack Wheeler are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-5.2%
+4.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.2%
-0.4%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.5%
-0.8%
18%
7 to 18°
-2.0%
+0.3%
15%
19 to 28°
+3.2%
-0.7%
11%
29 to 38°
+2.5%
-1.3%
7%
39 to 50°
+2.0%
-0.8%
8%
Above 50°
+1.3%
-0.6%
Brandon Lowe has 3 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.95 | 0.67 | 0.28 | 0.01 | 0.475 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-11 | Flyout | 100% | |||
| 2024-09-11 | Triple | 67% | 27% | 5% | |
| 2024-09-11 | Walk | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
