Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ty France

matchup for Joe Ryan

365th out of 436 (Worst 17%)

Joe Ryan

matchup for Ty France

459th out of 564 (Worst 19%)

Leans in favor of Ryan

Ty France has a 27.7% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 3.6% lower than France's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Ryan.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.7%	22.7%	3.2%	5.0%	14.6%	5.0%	23.9%
France	-3.6	-1.5	+0.3	+0.2	-1.9	-2.2	+3.0
Ryan	+0.9	+2.5	+0.6	-0.3	+2.2	-1.6	-5.1

Ty France is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. France has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Ty France has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

19%

Splitter (R)

16%

9% of Joe Ryan's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Ty France has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

49% of Joe Ryan's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Ty France has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 49%

+28%

Low Ride 39%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

12.2% of Ty France's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.0% +4.7% 5%

Walk -1.3% -3.3% 37%

In Play +5.3% -1.4% 39%

On Base -0.2% -8.0% 31%

Hit +1.1% -4.7% 14%

Single +0.2% -2.9% 13%

2B / 3B +0.6% -2.7% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +0.9%

38.1% of Ty France's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.7% higher than the league average. Joe Ryan induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.7% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.9% -2.8% 14%

Low Screamer -1.3% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.3% -2.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.3% -0.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.2% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.9% +3.1% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +4.0%

23.4% of Ty France's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. 23.2% of batted balls allowed by Joe Ryan are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.8% +5.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph 0.0% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.0% -0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.9% -1.1%

11.9% of Ty France's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.8% of batted balls allowed by Joe Ryan are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.1% -1.8% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.9% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° 0.0% -2.3% 18%

7 to 18° +0.2% -1.2% 15%

19 to 28° -0.9% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% +0.4% 7%

39 to 50° -1.1% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° +0.3% +6.7%

Ty France has 10 plate appearances against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 9 with a home run, a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	10	9	1	1	0	0	4	1	0.111
Expected From Contact →			1.13	0.98	0.02	0.14			0.126

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-30	Groundout			2%	97%
2024-06-30	Strikeout
2024-06-30	Hit By Pitch
2023-07-26	Strikeout
2023-07-26	Groundout			12%	88%
2022-06-14	Strikeout
2022-06-14	Home Run	98%			1%
2022-06-14	Strikeout
2022-04-08	Hit By Pitch
2022-04-08	Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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