Matchup Machine

Ty France

Worst 8% of matchups for Paul Blackburn

Paul Blackburn

Best 11% of matchups for Ty France

Extreme advantage for France

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	3.4%	5.8%	17.9%	8.1%	17.4%
MLB (+/-)	+0.6	+1.6	+4.0	-1.6	-7.8
France	+0.2	+0.2	+2.3	+0.4	-1.4
Blackburn	+0.4	+1.5	+1.7	-2.8	-6.2

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

3.4%

5.8%

17.9%

8.1%

17.4%

MLB (+/-)

+0.6

+1.6

+4.0

-1.6

-7.8

France

+0.2

+2.3

+0.4

-1.4

Blackburn

+0.4

+1.5

+1.7

-2.8

-6.2

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	13	2	0	0	2	2	1	.154
Expected From Contact →			2.05	0.01	0.18	1.85			.158

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Single			17%	83%
2023-09-19	Groundout			23%	77%
2022-06-22	Single		11%	71%	18%
2022-06-22	Lineout		2%	19%	79%
2022-06-22	Strikeout
2022-05-25	Hit By Pitch
2022-05-25	Walk
2022-05-25	Forceout			8%	92%
2021-09-21	Flyout	1%			98%
2021-09-21	Strikeout
2021-09-21	Pop Out				100%
2021-08-23	Flyout				100%
2021-08-23	Groundout			37%	62%
2021-08-23	Flyout		3%	9%	88%
2020-09-26	Double		42%	7%	51%
2020-09-26	Groundout		50%	9%	41%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	54%	42	RHB vs RHP	40	53%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

54%

RHB vs RHP

53%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
52%	29	Fastball	23	59%
32%	57	Breaking	57	30%
11%	46	Offspeed	56	11%
		------------------
55%	14	Sinker	29	25%
56%	0	Cutter	63	20%	⭐
62%	44	Slider	61	18%
49%	51	Four-Seam FB	29	13%
53%	61	Curveball	43	12%
69%	34	Changeup	50	11%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

52%

Fastball

59%

32%

Breaking

30%

11%

Offspeed

11%

------------------

55%

Sinker

25%

56%

Cutter

20%

⭐

62%

Slider

18%

49%

Four-Seam FB

13%

53%

Curveball

12%

69%

Changeup

11%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	71%	93	Away / Glove Side	36	15%
	71%	82	Bottom of zone	50	11%
	76%	18	Top of zone	21	9%
	72%	-5	In / Arm Side	50	6%
	75%	27	Middle	51	4%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

71%

Away / Glove Side

15%

71%

Bottom of zone

11%

76%

Top of zone

72%

-5

In / Arm Side

75%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
42%	46	Away / Glove Side	57	46%
50%	47	Below the zone	46	42%
41%	-6	Above the zone	22	18%
38%	48	In / Arm Side	16	14%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

42%

Away / Glove Side

46%

50%

Below the zone

42%

41%

-6

Above the zone

18%

38%

In / Arm Side

14%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
66%	29	2 Strikes	46	30%
61%	-4	Batter Ahead	15	29%
62%	65	Batter Behind	55	26%
35%	47	First Pitch	30	25%
62%	2	3 Balls	24	10%
74%	-2	Full Count	16	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

66%

2 Strikes

30%

61%

-4

Batter Ahead

29%

62%

Batter Behind

26%

35%

First Pitch

25%

62%

3 Balls

10%

74%

-2

Full Count