Matchup Machine

      Ty France

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      matchup for Max Fried

      242nd out of 436 (Worst 45%)

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      Max Fried

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      matchup for Ty France

      412th out of 564 (Worst 27%)

      Leans in favor of France
      1

      Model Prediction

      Ty France has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Max Fried, which is 0.1% higher than France's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Fried.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Ty France is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Max Fried is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. France has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Max Fried throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Ty France has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      35%
         Curve (L)
      23%
         Slider (L)
      17%
         Sinker (L)
      13%
         Changeup (L)
      11%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.2% of Ty France's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Max Fried strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.0% +3.0% 5%         Walk -1.3% -1.8% 37%         In Play +5.3% -1.2% 39%         On Base -0.2% +0.3% 31%         Hit +1.1% +2.0% 14%         Single +0.2% +1.7% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +1.7% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -1.4%

      History

      Ty France has 5 plate appearances against Max Fried in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual550000200.000
      Expected From Contact →0.360.000.060.300.073
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-29Strikeout
      2024-04-29Forceout10%90%
      2022-09-10Groundout19%81%
      2022-09-10Strikeout
      2022-09-10Lineout6%2%92%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.