Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ian Happ

matchup for Trevor Rogers

128th out of 436 (Best 30%)

Trevor Rogers

matchup for Ian Happ

177th out of 564 (Best 32%)

Moderate advantage for Happ

Ian Happ has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Trevor Rogers, which is 1.4% higher than Happ's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Rogers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.0%	20.5%	2.7%	4.6%	13.2%	13.4%	24.3%
Happ	+1.4	+1.0	+0.3	+0.1	+0.5	+0.4	-2.8
Rogers	-0.1	-3.7	+0.0	-1.1	-2.6	+3.6	+4.7

Ian Happ is worse vs left-handed pitching. Trevor Rogers is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Happ has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Trevor Rogers throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Ian Happ has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

48%

Changeup (L)

26%

Slider (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ian Happ has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 19%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

48% of Trevor Rogers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Ian Happ has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 48%

+26%

Offspeed (L) 26%

+14%

Fast Velo 20%

+10%

Medium Ride 23%

+9%

14.5% of Ian Happ's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.1% -0.4% 3%

Walk +4.0% +0.3% 41%

In Play -3.9% +0.2% 39%

On Base +1.5% +0.7% 31%

Hit -2.5% +0.4% 14%

Single -2.2% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -2.1% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +1.8% -0.8%

32.9% of Ian Happ's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. Trevor Rogers induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.5% -1.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.1% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer -1.0% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% -0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.8% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +2.8% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.8% +0.2% 3%

Pop up -0.1% -0.9%

29.3% of Ian Happ's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. 28.8% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% -1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.4% -3.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.3% +1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.5% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.0% +4.5%

11.7% of Ian Happ's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Trevor Rogers are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%