Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Ian Happ

matchup for Zac Gallen

292nd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Zac Gallen

matchup for Ian Happ

424th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Leans in favor of Happ

Ian Happ has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Zac Gallen, which is 0.5% higher than Happ's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Gallen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.7%	18.2%	2.9%	4.0%	11.3%	16.6%	33.9%
Happ	+0.5	-3.2	-0.3	-0.9	-2.1	+3.8	+7.8
Gallen	+2.1	-1.7	+0.1	-0.4	-1.4	+3.8	+2.4

Ian Happ is better vs right-handed pitching. Zac Gallen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Happ has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Zac Gallen throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ian Happ has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Kn-Curve (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

14%

Cutter (R)

10%

22% of Zac Gallen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Ian Happ has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

25% of Zac Gallen's pitches are classified as Small Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Ian Happ has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Small Break 25%

+16%

Extreme Drop 19%

+14%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+8%

14.6% of Ian Happ's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. Zac Gallen strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.0% +3.5% 3%

Walk +3.7% -0.3% 41%

In Play -3.8% -3.2% 39%

On Base +1.7% -2.0% 31%

Hit -2.0% -1.7% 14%

Single -2.4% -1.0% 13%

2B / 3B -1.9% -0.6% 3%

Home Run +2.3% -0.1%

32.9% of Ian Happ's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. Zac Gallen induces Standard Grounders at a 32.8% rate, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.5% -1.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.1% +2.2% 14%

Low Screamer -0.9% +1.2% 9%

Rising Liner -0.4% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.8% +0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +2.7% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.7% +1.3% 3%

Pop up -0.1% -1.5%

29.2% of Ian Happ's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.9% higher than the league average. 26.5% of batted balls allowed by Zac Gallen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.6% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.3% -2.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.3% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.3% +1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.9% +2.2%

11.8% of Ian Happ's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Zac Gallen are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.7% -0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.2% +0.5% 8%

1 to 6° -0.3% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° -0.6% +1.0% 15%

19 to 28° +2.0% +0.4% 11%

29 to 38° +0.4% -0.8% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° 0.0% -1.6%

Ian Happ has 16 plate appearances against Zac Gallen in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 15 with a home run, a double and a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	16	15	3	1	1	1	5	1	0.200
Expected From Contact →			3.95	1.00	1.02	1.93			0.263

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Home Run
2025-03-27	Double
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2024-07-20	Strikeout
2024-07-20	Walk
2024-07-20	Strikeout
2023-09-08	Forceout			63%	36%
2023-09-08	Strikeout
2023-09-08	Strikeout
2023-09-08	Pop Out				99%
2022-05-19	Groundout			13%	87%
2022-05-19	Pop Out			3%	97%
2022-05-19	Groundout			19%	81%
2022-05-14	Single			88%	11%
2022-05-14	Pop Out				100%
2022-05-14	Groundout			7%	93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe