Matchup Machine

Ian Happ

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matchup for Chad Green

183rd out of 436 (Best 43%)

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Chad Green

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matchup for Ian Happ

475th out of 567 (Worst 16%)

Moderate advantage for Green
5

Model Prediction

Ian Happ has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Chad Green, which is 5.3% lower than Happ's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Green.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.3%17.8%2.7%5.1%10.0%9.5%28.1%
Happ-5.3-1.8+0.3+0.6-2.7-3.5+1.0
Green+0.5-2.4-0.7+0.1-1.8+2.9+3.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Ian Happ is better vs right-handed pitching. Chad Green is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Happ has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chad Green throws a 4-seam fastball 72% of the time. Ian Happ has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
72%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

14.5% of Ian Happ's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. Chad Green strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.1% +9.3% 3%         Walk +4.0% -3.9% 41%         In Play -3.9% -5.4% 39%         On Base +1.5% -8.6% 31%         Hit -2.5% -4.7% 14%         Single -2.2% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -2.1% -2.9% 3%         Home Run +1.8% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years