Matchup Machine

Ian Happ

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matchup for Carson Fulmer

99th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Carson Fulmer

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matchup for Ian Happ

234th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Happ
3

Model Prediction

Ian Happ has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 1.0% higher than Happ's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Fulmer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.5%19.5%2.5%4.5%12.5%14.0%25.8%
Happ+1.0-0.1+0.0+0.0-0.2+1.0-1.3
Fulmer+0.1-4.3-0.6-1.0-2.6+4.4+4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Ian Happ is better vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Happ has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Ian Happ has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Slider (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

14.5% of Ian Happ's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.1% -2.6% 3%         Walk +4.0% +2.5% 41%         In Play -3.9% +0.1% 39%         On Base +1.5% +3.9% 31%         Hit -2.5% +1.4% 14%         Single -2.2% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.1% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.8% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years