Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nathaniel Lowe

matchup for Taj Bradley

366th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

Taj Bradley

matchup for Nathaniel Lowe

365th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for Lowe

Nathaniel Lowe has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 1.0% lower than Lowe's typical expectations, and 3.2% higher than batters facing Bradley.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.9%	24.0%	2.6%	4.9%	16.5%	9.9%	25.3%
Lowe	-1.0	+1.2	-0.1	0.0	+1.3	-2.3	+1.3
Bradley	+3.2	+1.4	+0.0	+0.0	+1.4	+1.8	-1.0

Nathaniel Lowe is better vs right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lowe has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Nathaniel Lowe has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

24%

Splitter (R)

15%

Curve (R)

12%

Changeup (R)

15% of Taj Bradley's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Nathaniel Lowe has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

36% of Taj Bradley's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Nathaniel Lowe has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+17%

Very Fast Velo 24%

+15%

Fastball (R) 68%

+14%

High Ride 24%

+13%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

14.3% of Nathaniel Lowe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.5% +3.2% 3%

Walk +3.5% +0.4% 41%

In Play -2.9% -3.5% 39%

On Base +6.1% -1.3% 31%

Hit +2.7% -1.6% 14%

Single +0.9% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +1.4% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +1.2%

40.2% of Nathaniel Lowe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.8% higher than the league average. Taj Bradley induces Standard Grounders at a 32.6% rate, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.8% -1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.8% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -4.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.0% +2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% +1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.4% +3.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -5.0% -2.0% 3%

Pop up -1.4% +1.4%

31.0% of Nathaniel Lowe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. 29.5% of batted balls allowed by Taj Bradley are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.7% -3.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% -0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.3% -2.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.6% +1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.7% +5.2%

8.2% of Nathaniel Lowe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Taj Bradley are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.1% -1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.8% +0.9% 8%

1 to 6° +1.1% -0.2% 18%

7 to 18° +0.8% +0.7% 15%

19 to 28° -0.7% -1.2% 11%

29 to 38° -3.3% +2.3% 7%

39 to 50° -2.6% -3.8% 8%

Above 50° -2.3% +2.3%

Nathaniel Lowe has 8 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 8 with 5 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	8	2	0	0	2	5	0	0.250
Expected From Contact →			1.56	0.00	0.04	1.52			0.194

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-06	Single		2%	72%	26%
2024-07-06	Strikeout
2024-07-06	Lineout			3%	97%
2023-07-18	Strikeout
2023-07-18	Strikeout
2023-07-18	Single			78%	22%
2023-06-10	Strikeout
2023-06-10	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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